UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
71%
Morono
29%
Ottow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
5'11"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
ZO
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Morono

Morono is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Morono has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Morono
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
14.1
43.3
Performance Avg
40.2
35
Quality of Victory
34
20
Momentum Score
53
Morono
Ottow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
6
3
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance10
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Morono
Ottow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morono
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Morono
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Morono
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morono
Ottow
Striking2.7 / 3.5Volume6.7 / 7.0Grappling2.9 / 1.8Wrestling2.0 / 1.3Submission1.5 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Morono
Strike Zones
Ottow
Morono
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Ottow
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the head (60% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morono
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0

Morono · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Ottow · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W2.3L5.0W2.8L4.5W1.5L2016-102017-062018-032018-122019-03
WinLossTrend

Morono · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

Ottow · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11

News & Media

Alex Morono · Zak Ottow
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