METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
71%
Morono
29%
Ottow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
★ Official Result
Alex MoronowinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:34
def. Zak Ottow · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morono
→
Actual result
Morono wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Morono is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoronoOttow
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morono
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
14.1
43.3
Performance Avg
40.2
35
Quality of Victory
34
20
Momentum Score
53
Morono
Ottow
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
3.3
6.7
Style: Volume
7.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
6
3
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance10
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Morono
Ottow
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morono
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Morono
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Morono
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Ottow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
MoronoOttow
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedOttow
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the head (60% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11