METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Middleweight
VS
35%
Belfort
65%
Gastelum
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gastelum
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Belfort has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Belfort has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Belfort
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Belfort
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
41.4
59.2
Performance Avg
47.4
59
Quality of Victory
42
91
Momentum Score
28
Belfort
Gastelum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
25
5
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Belfort
Gastelum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belfort
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Belfort
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
28
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Belfort
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
36%
11
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belfort
Gastelum
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BelfortGastelum
Strike Zones
Belfort
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedGastelum
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (96% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belfort
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Gastelum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12