UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Middleweight
VS
35%
Belfort
65%
Gastelum
Win Probability
VB
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26 – 14
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw49 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 22
Kelvin
Kelvin Gastelum
21 – 11
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gastelum

Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Belfort has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Belfort has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Belfort
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Belfort
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
41.4
59.2
Performance Avg
47.4
59
Quality of Victory
42
91
Momentum Score
28
Belfort
Gastelum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
25
5
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Belfort
Gastelum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belfort
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Belfort
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
28
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Belfort
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
36%
11
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belfort
Gastelum
Striking8.5 / 3.3Volume1.7 / 6.3Grappling1.2 / 2.7Wrestling0.9 / 1.9Submission1.3 / 1.4Pressure7.9 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Belfort
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Belfort
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Gastelum
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (96% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belfort
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Belfort · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.0W4.8L5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.2L5.1W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W2.8L1997-022003-062012-012016-052018-05
WinLossTrend

Gastelum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W6.1L4.5W5.5W3.6L5.0W4.5W6.9L5.5L2.4L4.5W6.4L6.5L5.2W5.1L5.4W7.5L4.5W3.0L2013-042015-112019-112024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Belfort · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Gastelum · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Vitor Belfort · Kelvin Gastelum
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