UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Jacksonville, USA
16 May 2020
Featherweight
VS
52%
Ige
48%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ige
This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 52% vs Barboza at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Barboza throws more volume but Ige connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ige
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
44.9
46.3
Performance Avg
46.3
42
Quality of Victory
40
53
Momentum Score
60
Ige
Barboza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
5
Body
7
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance17
1Clinch2
6Ground0
Ige
Barboza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
32/38 fights
Ige
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Ige
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
IgeBarboza
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (68% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the head (42% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

