UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Wineland
70%
O'Malley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
O'Malley is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wineland
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wineland
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
65.3
45.0
Performance Avg
59.5
50
Quality of Victory
47
78
Momentum Score
95
Wineland
O'Malley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.3
32%
Strike Accuracy
62%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
1
Body
5
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Wineland
O'Malley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wineland
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Wineland
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
95
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Wineland
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
55%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wineland
O'Malley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
WinelandO'Malley
Strike Zones
Wineland
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedO'Malley
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (75% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (38% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wineland
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
