UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
49%
Avila
51%
Cavalcanti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julia
Julia Avila
"Raging Panda"
9 – 4
5'7"68" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Jacqueline
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
10 – 2
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cavalcanti

This is a genuine toss-up — Avila at 49% vs Cavalcanti at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Avila has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Cavalcanti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Avila
Cavalcanti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Avila
Cavalcanti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
53.9
46.0
Performance Avg
48.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
85
Avila
Cavalcanti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
21
4
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance24
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Avila
Cavalcanti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Avila
Cavalcanti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Avila
Cavalcanti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Avila
Cavalcanti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Avila
Cavalcanti
Striking4.3 / 1.7Volume3.7 / 9.7Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 2.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.7
Avila
Strike Zones
Cavalcanti
Avila
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY6LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Cavalcanti
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY6LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Avila targets the head (44% of attacks) — Cavalcanti absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcanti targets the head (88% of attacks) — Avila absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Avila
RND
Cavalcanti
0/0R00/0

Avila · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.8W4.9L6.4L2019-072020-062020-092021-062023-122025-02
WinLossTrend

Cavalcanti · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.3W5.2W5.3W5.1W5.9L2023-092024-082024-092025-022025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Avila · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Gina MazanyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06

Cavalcanti · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Julia AvilaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Julia Avila · Jacqueline Cavalcanti
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