METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Welterweight
VS
58%
Trinaldo
42%
Grant
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dwight Grant · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 58% vs Grant at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoGrant
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Trinaldo
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
23.2
48.6
Performance Avg
37.0
35
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
59
Trinaldo
Grant
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.3
Style: Volume
6.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Trinaldo
Grant
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Trinaldo
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Trinaldo
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
TrinaldoGrant
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedGrant
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (70% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (67% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicDecision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08