UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Welterweight
VS
78%
McKee
22%
Frunza
Win Probability
Rhys
Rhys McKee
"Skeletor"
14 – 7
6'2"78" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Daniel
Daniel Frunza
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McKee

McKee is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McKee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Striking split: Frunza throws more volume but McKee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

McKee's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKee
Frunza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McKee
Frunza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.5
6.9
24.7
Performance Avg
0.0
30
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
McKee
Frunza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
31
6
Body
3
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
38Distance37
3Clinch6
2Ground0
McKee
Frunza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
McKee
Frunza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
McKee
Frunza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · R1
McKee
Frunza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McKee
Frunza
Striking0.3 / 0.0Volume0.3 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McKee
Strike Zones
Frunza
McKee
Attacking
33HEAD6BODY4LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD3BODY9LEGS43 absorbed
Frunza
Attacking
31HEAD3BODY9LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD6BODY4LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McKee targets the head (77% of attacks) — Frunza absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Frunza targets the head (72% of attacks) — McKee absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McKee
RND
Frunza
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0

McKee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0103.4L5.5L5.5L6.6L4.0W5.3L2020-072020-112023-092024-032025-042025-09
WinLossTrend

Frunza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.2L2025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

McKee · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · R1
Daniel FrunzaRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11

Frunza · Last 2

L · Sub · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · R1
Rhys McKeeRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

News & Media

Rhys McKee · Daniel Frunza
← Back to fights