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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Catch Weight
VS
53%
Beltran
47%
Soto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:37
MB
Marco Beltran
"Psycho"
8 – 6
5'8"69" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JS
Joe Soto
"One Bad Mofo"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Joe SotowinsSubmissionR1 · 1:37
def. Marco Beltran · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Beltran
→
Actual result
Soto wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Beltran at 53% vs Soto at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Soto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Beltran's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Soto has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BeltranSoto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Beltran
Soto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Soto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
12.7
39.9
Performance Avg
39.8
33
Quality of Victory
41
45
Momentum Score
20
Beltran
Soto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Beltran
Soto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Beltran
Soto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
20
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Beltran
Soto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Beltran
Soto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Beltran
Soto
Striking1.0 / 0.8Volume6.3 / 3.4Grappling4.3 / 6.1Wrestling3.0 / 4.3Submission3.3 / 6.7Pressure3.8 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Beltran
Strike Zones
Soto
Beltran
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Soto
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the body (67% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Soto targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Beltran
RND
Soto
0/0R00/0

Beltran · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.3W4.5W5.2W1.5L3.8L5.7L2014-112015-112016-072016-112017-062017-10
WinLossTrend

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.1L1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W4.9W1.5L1.5L2014-082016-012016-112017-122018-02
WinLossTrend

Beltran · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Joe SotoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Reginaldo VieiraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Guangyou NingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11

Soto · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

Marco Beltran · Joe Soto
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