UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
30 Oct 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Ankalaev
43%
Oezdemir
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
This is a genuine toss-up — Ankalaev at 57% vs Oezdemir at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oezdemir has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
50.6
59.9
Performance Avg
50.8
43
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
52
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
9
Body
0
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
26Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Oezdemir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
AnkalaevOezdemir
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedOezdemir
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (65% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (62% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Oezdemir
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny WalkerUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

