METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
6%
Reyes
94%
Campbell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
★ Official Result
Charlie CampbellwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:38
def. Alex Reyes · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Campbell
→
Actual result
Campbell wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Campbell is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Campbell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Campbell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reyes's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReyesCampbell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reyes
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.9
57.5
0.0
Performance Avg
52.2
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
70
Reyes
Campbell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
3.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
27
2
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance35
2Clinch7
0Ground1
Reyes
Campbell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reyes
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Reyes
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Reyes
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reyes
Campbell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ReyesCampbell
Strike Zones
Reyes
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedCampbell
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (63% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reyes
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Campbell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Reyes · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Charlie CampbellRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
Campbell · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Tom NolanRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Alex ReyesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09