METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
6%
Reyes
94%
Campbell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
★ Official Result
Charlie CampbellwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:38
def. Alex Reyes · Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Campbell
→
Actual result
Campbell wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Campbell is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Campbell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Reyes's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReyesCampbell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reyes
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.9
57.5
0.0
Performance Avg
52.2
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
70
Reyes
Campbell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.5
0.0
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
27
2
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance35
2Clinch7
0Ground1
Reyes
Campbell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Reyes
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Reyes
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reyes
Campbell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ReyesCampbell
Strike Zones
Reyes
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedCampbell
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (63% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reyes
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reyes · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Charlie CampbellKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
Campbell · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Tom NolanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Alex ReyesKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09