UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
6%
Reyes
94%
Campbell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
Alex
Alex Reyes
"The Executioner"
13 – 5
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 4
Charlie
Charlie Campbell
"The Cannibal"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Campbell

Campbell is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Campbell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Campbell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reyes
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.9
57.5
0.0
Performance Avg
52.2
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
70
Reyes
Campbell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
27
2
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance35
2Clinch7
0Ground1
Reyes
Campbell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reyes
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Reyes
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Reyes
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes
Campbell
Striking0.0 / 6.3Volume0.0 / 5.3Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Reyes
Strike Zones
Campbell
Reyes
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD10BODY6LEGS43 absorbed
Campbell
Attacking
27HEAD10BODY6LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (63% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0101.5L2.6L7.0L2017-092023-092024-08
WinLossTrend

Campbell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.8W3.0L2023-092024-042025-09
WinLossTrend

Reyes · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Charlie CampbellRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

Campbell · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Tom NolanRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Alex ReyesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Alex Reyes · Charlie Campbell
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