UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Middleweight
VS
46%
Alvey
54%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw40 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
WT
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Turman

This is a genuine toss-up — Alvey at 46% vs Turman at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alvey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Alvey throws more volume but Turman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alvey
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
27.0
44.3
Performance Avg
33.2
45
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
15
Alvey
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
20
4
Body
9
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
32Distance29
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Alvey
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Alvey
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
15
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Alvey
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alvey
Turman
Striking5.9 / 0.7Volume4.1 / 6.0Grappling1.8 / 4.3Wrestling1.2 / 3.0Submission1.0 / 3.3Pressure5.5 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Alvey
Strike Zones
Turman
Alvey
Attacking
30HEAD4BODY0LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Turman
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD4BODY0LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the head (88% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (63% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alvey
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Turman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.5W1.5L2.8L4.5W5.2W6.0L6.4L3.3L2019-072021-062022-112023-12
WinLossTrend

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

Turman · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

News & Media

Sam Alvey · Wellington Turman
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