METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Middleweight
VS
50%
Alvey
50%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Wellington TurmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Turman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alvey at 50% vs Turman at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alvey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlveyTurman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alvey
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
22.5
44.3
Performance Avg
33.2
45
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
15
Alvey
Turman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
4.1
Style: Volume
6.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
20
4
Body
9
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
32Distance29
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Alvey
Turman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Alvey
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
15
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Alvey
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
AlveyTurman
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTurman
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the head (88% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (63% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08