METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Spann
52%
Preux
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:35
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:35
def. Ovince Saint Preux · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Preux
→
Actual result
Spann wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Spann at 48% vs Preux at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Spann throws more volume but Preux connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Spann's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpannPreux
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spann
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
+80"
34+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spann
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
46.7
54.8
Performance Avg
50.2
50
Quality of Victory
48
10
Momentum Score
72
Spann
Preux
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Spann
Preux
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spann
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/35 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Spann
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Spann
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spann
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
SpannPreux
Strike Zones
Spann
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPreux
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spann targets the head (56% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Preux targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spann
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Spann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Spann · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06