UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Welterweight
VS
10%
Ivy
90%
Aguilera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aguilera
Aguilera is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aguilera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Aguilera throws more volume but Ivy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ivy
Aguilera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ivy
Aguilera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
19.2
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
43
Ivy
Aguilera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ivy
Aguilera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ivy
Aguilera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Ivy
Aguilera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Ivy
Aguilera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ivy
Aguilera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
IvyAguilera
Strike Zones
Ivy
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedAguilera
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ivy targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Aguilera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Aguilera targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ivy absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ivy
RND
Aguilera
0/0R00/0
Ivy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Aguilera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Ivy · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R1
Christian AguileraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
Aguilera · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Sean BradyRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Anthony IvyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06