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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Lightweight
VS
46%
Ziam
54%
Nolan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Fares
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
184
6'1"75" reachOrthodox29 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Tom
Tom Nolan
"Big Train"
101
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak26 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'3"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Tom NolanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fares Ziam · UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nolan
Tom Nolan by unanimous decision. Nolan's physical tools and upward trajectory pr
Actual result
Nolan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

A six-fight winner walks in as a slight underdog against an Australian prospect — the rankings math here does not add up in Nolan's favour long-term.

This is one of the more genuinely competitive fights on the card — two lightweights with legitimate winning streaks and stylistically interesting profiles meeting in a fight that will matter for rankings movement at 155. Fares Ziam is 'The Smile Killer' from France, 18-4, on a six-fight winning streak including a second-round stoppage of Nazim Sadykhov at UFC 323. He is a volume striker (7.6 outp…

Ziam intel

Ziam arrives on a six-fight streak and has been publicly dismissive of Nolan's level. He is a well-rounded striker who uses reach and volume effectively but does not carry significant finishing power — only a 0.25 finish rate. His approach will be to control distance and outwork Nolan over 15 minutes.

Nolan intel

Nolan is a physical specimen at 6'3" with genuine power and a four-fight UFC win streak. The Australian has been vocal about wanting ranked opponents and views Ziam as a stepping stone to the top 15. His camp has focused on counter-striking against Ziam's long-range game.

Key angles

Ziam's reach advantage and volume style versus Nolan's power and physical upside

Ziam's public dismissiveness could motivate Nolan to come in more aggressive than usual

Nolan's grappling threat as a secondary weapon Ziam has not prepared extensively for

Both fighters need a name-making win — the urgency level is identical

Risk flags

Ziam's six-fight winning form and experience edge could simply outwork a younger fighter

Nolan has not yet faced anyone approaching Ziam's UFC pedigree and the step up may expose gaps

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ZiamNolan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ziam
Nolan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
73"
29
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ziam
Nolan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
63.6
45.8
Performance Avg
56.0
32
Quality of Victory
38
91
Momentum Score
100
Ziam
Nolan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
5.3
7.3
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch2
1Ground3
Ziam
Nolan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ziam
Nolan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Ziam
Nolan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Ziam
Nolan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ziam
Nolan
Striking3.8 / 3.7Volume7.3 / 6.5Grappling1.8 / 3.0Wrestling1.3 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.8 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Ziam
Strike Zones
Nolan
Ziam
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Nolan
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ziam targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nolan absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Nolan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ziam absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ziam
RND
Nolan
0/0R00/0

Ziam · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Axel Sola
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Tom Nolan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim Sadykhov
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike Davis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt Frevola
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Nolan · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Fares Ziam
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Charlie Campbell
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav Borshchev
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex Reyes
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R1
Victor Martinez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Fares Ziam · Tom Nolan
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