METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Welterweight
VS
26%
Alves
74%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Max Griffin · UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Griffin is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
46.4
47.3
Performance Avg
39.0
42
Quality of Victory
37
63
Momentum Score
74
Alves
Griffin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.3
Style: Volume
5.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
3
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch6
0Ground0
Alves
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Alves
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alves
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
38%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
AlvesGriffin
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (44% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the body (55% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · Last 5
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