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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
57%
Dolidze
43%
Holland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 5:00
Roman
Roman Dolidze
15 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 63
Kevin
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47
β˜… Official Result
Roman DolidzewinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 5:00
def. Kevin Holland Β· UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dolidze
β†’
Actual result
Dolidze wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Dolidze at 57% vs Holland at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Dolidze throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holland has a chin rating of 6 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DolidzeHolland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Dolidze
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+81"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dolidze
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
47.0
52.0
Performance Avg
49.3
44
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
51
Dolidze
Holland
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
2
Body
3
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
5Distance18
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Dolidze
Holland
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dolidze
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
β€”
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
β€”
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Dolidze
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R4
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Dolidze
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
69%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dolidze
Holland
Striking6.8 / 4.3Volume4.8 / 3.6Grappling1.1 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Dolidze
Strike Zones
Holland
Dolidze
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY10LEGS18 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY10LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dolidze targets the head (84% of attacks) β€” Holland absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the legs (56% of attacks) β€” Dolidze absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Dolidze
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Dolidze Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.7L4.5W5.6W5.0W6.2W6.3L6.9L5.7W5.6W5.3W4.8L7.0L2020-072022-062024-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Holland Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Dolidze Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Β· 2026-03
L Β· Sub Β· R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez Β· 2025-08
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 Β· 2025-03
W Β· KO Β· R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Β· 2024-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Β· 2024-06

Holland Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 Β· 2025-07
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Β· 2025-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Β· 2025-03

News & Media

Roman Dolidze Β· Kevin Holland
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