UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
57%
Dolidze
43%
Holland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
Roman
Roman Dolidze
15 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 63
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dolidze

This is a genuine toss-up — Dolidze at 57% vs Holland at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Dolidze throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dolidze
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+81"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dolidze
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
47.0
52.0
Performance Avg
49.3
44
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
51
Dolidze
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
2
Body
3
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
5Distance18
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Dolidze
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dolidze
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Dolidze
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dolidze
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
69%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dolidze
Holland
Striking6.8 / 4.3Volume4.8 / 3.6Grappling1.1 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Dolidze
Strike Zones
Holland
Dolidze
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY10LEGS18 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY10LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dolidze targets the head (84% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dolidze
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Dolidze · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.7L4.5W5.6W5.0W6.2W6.3L6.9L5.7W5.6W5.3W4.8L7.0L2020-072022-062024-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Dolidze · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Roman Dolidze · Kevin Holland
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