UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Morales
50%
Johns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
VM
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
16 – 11
5'7"70" reachOrthodox35 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Miles
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Morales

This is a genuine toss-up — Morales at 50% vs Johns at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Morales throws more volume but Johns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johns has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Morales
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.6
34.7
32.0
Performance Avg
41.8
37
Quality of Victory
33
30
Momentum Score
10
Morales
Johns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
13
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Morales
Johns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Morales
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
10
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Morales
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Johns
Striking3.8 / 4.4Volume5.8 / 6.4Grappling1.6 / 1.6Wrestling1.1 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Morales
Strike Zones
Johns
Morales
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Johns
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (80% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Johns targets the head (87% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0106.8L5.6W5.5L3.2L4.5W5.0W6.0L5.5L6.2L7.4L7.1L6.0L2018-112020-052022-052025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W3.8L5.5W5.5W4.8L4.5W4.7W4.7W6.5L6.4L4.0L2019-092021-082024-032025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Morales · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

Johns · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Vince Morales · Miles Johns
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