UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
31%
Kish
69%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JK
Justine Kish
7 – 4
5'5"64" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
NN
Nina Nunes
11 – 7
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Kish has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Kish connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kish
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
64"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kish
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
25.7
32.1
Performance Avg
39.6
25
Quality of Victory
29
30
Momentum Score
70
Kish
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
3
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
3Clinch1
4Ground1
Kish
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kish
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/11 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Kish
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kish
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kish
Nunes
Striking0.9 / 1.1Volume8.9 / 7.5Grappling2.4 / 3.5Wrestling1.7 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure1.3 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Kish
Strike Zones
Nunes
Kish
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Nunes
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kish targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kish absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kish
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0

Kish · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L2016-012017-062020-012021-04
WinLossTrend

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L5.5W4.6W4.5W4.5W7.4L2.7L4.5W2014-112017-112019-062022-08
WinLossTrend

Kish · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Ji Yeon KimRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Felice HerrigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

News & Media

Justine Kish · Nina Nunes
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