UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Cirkunov
65%
Menifield
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menifield
Menifield holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menifield has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cirkunov
Menifield
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Menifield
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
52.6
50.1
Performance Avg
51.6
53
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
75
Cirkunov
Menifield
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
2Clinch1
0Ground3
Cirkunov
Menifield
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Menifield
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Cirkunov
Menifield
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
75
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Cirkunov
Menifield
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cirkunov
Menifield
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
CirkunovMenifield
Strike Zones
Cirkunov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMenifield
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (40% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Menifield targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cirkunov
RND
Menifield
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cirkunov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
Zhang MingyangUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Julius WalkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · KO · R2
Azamat MurzakanovRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08