METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Lightweight
VS
56%
Khabilov
44%
Medeiros
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Rustam KhabilovwinsR1 · 2:32
def. Yancy Medeiros · UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Khabilov
→
Actual result
Khabilov wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Khabilov at 56% vs Medeiros at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Medeiros has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KhabilovMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Khabilov
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
15.6
48.2
Performance Avg
45.4
29
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Khabilov
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
7.1
7.9
Style: Volume
2.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Khabilov
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Khabilov
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
14
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Khabilov
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Khabilov
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Khabilov
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
KhabilovMedeiros
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Khabilov
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
Khabilov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataDecision
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Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
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