UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
39%
Patrick
61%
Hadzovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hadzovic
Hadzovic holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Patrick has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hadzovic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hadzovic has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Patrick
Hadzovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patrick
Hadzovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
35.9
41.4
Performance Avg
39.2
32
Quality of Victory
39
58
Momentum Score
20
Patrick
Hadzovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
3
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch4
2Ground0
Patrick
Hadzovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Patrick
Hadzovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Patrick
Hadzovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Patrick
Hadzovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Hadzovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PatrickHadzovic
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHadzovic
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the body (50% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hadzovic targets the body (86% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Hadzovic
0/0R00/0
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hadzovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Upcoming
Mason JonesUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Hadzovic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06