The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Marshall
13%
Bruchez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marshall
Marshall is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marshall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Marshall throws more volume but Bruchez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Marshall
Bruchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marshall
Bruchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
2.5
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Marshall
Bruchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.4
27%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance0
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Marshall
Bruchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marshall
Bruchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/3 fights
Marshall
Bruchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marshall
Bruchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshall
Bruchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MarshallBruchez
Strike Zones
Marshall
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBruchez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshall targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bruchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bruchez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshall
RND
Bruchez
0/0R00/0
Marshall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Marshall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
Bruchez · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Eliot MarshallRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12