UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Welterweight
VS
52%
Davis
48%
Goulet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:23
MD
CFR 19
JG
CFR 18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 52% vs Goulet at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Goulet has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Davis
Goulet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
52
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Goulet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
17.6
52.8
Performance Avg
41.6
48
Quality of Victory
40
56
Momentum Score
100
Davis
Goulet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Davis
Goulet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Goulet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Davis
Goulet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Davis
Goulet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Goulet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
DavisGoulet
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGoulet
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Goulet
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09