UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Featherweight
VS
46%
Dawodu
54%
Tukhugov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HD
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
13 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
ZT
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tukhugov

This is a genuine toss-up — Dawodu at 46% vs Tukhugov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dawodu
Tukhugov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
44.4
41.5
Performance Avg
48.4
29
Quality of Victory
39
80
Momentum Score
92
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
3
Body
1
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
92
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Dawodu
Tukhugov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dawodu
Tukhugov
Striking2.9 / 5.3Volume7.9 / 6.0Grappling2.0 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Dawodu
Strike Zones
Tukhugov
Dawodu
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY9LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Tukhugov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY9LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dawodu
RND
Tukhugov
0/0R00/0

Dawodu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L4.5W5.7L6.0L2018-032019-072021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Tukhugov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.7W5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L4.6W6.3L2014-022015-122020-022021-102023-02
WinLossTrend

Dawodu · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

Tukhugov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Hakeem Dawodu · Zubaira Tukhugov
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