UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Mayes
52%
Abdelwahab
Win Probability
Don'Tale
Don'Tale Mayes
"Lord Kong"
11 – 9
6'6"81" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Hamdy
Hamdy Abdelwahab
"The Hammer"
7 – 1
Well-Rounded33 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'2"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Abdelwahab

This is a genuine toss-up — Mayes at 48% vs Abdelwahab at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Mayes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Abdelwahab has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mayes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mayes
Abdelwahab
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
45.3
37.8
Performance Avg
41.7
39
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
60
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground14
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Mayes
Abdelwahab
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mayes
Abdelwahab
Striking5.7 / 1.3Volume4.7 / 9.3Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Mayes
Strike Zones
Abdelwahab
Mayes
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Abdelwahab
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mayes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Abdelwahab absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Abdelwahab targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mayes
RND
Abdelwahab
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mayes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L3.1L4.5W5.6W5.7L6.0W5.8L4.5W6.2L3.4L5.5L2019-102021-122023-112025-022025-05
WinLossTrend

Abdelwahab · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.7W6.5L5.5W2025-022025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Mayes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Abdelwahab · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Chris BarnettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Upcoming
Don'Tale Mayes
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07

News & Media

Don'Tale Mayes · Hamdy Abdelwahab
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