UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Gonzaga
54%
Mitrione
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mitrione
This is a genuine toss-up — Gonzaga at 46% vs Mitrione at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mitrione has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gonzaga's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+82"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
21.9
53.9
Performance Avg
58.4
54
Quality of Victory
54
59
Momentum Score
82
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
92%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gonzaga
Mitrione
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
GonzagaMitrione
Strike Zones
Gonzaga
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMitrione
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mitrione targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gonzaga absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gonzaga
RND
Mitrione
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gonzaga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Gonzaga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03