★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 54: Boiling Point
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Liddell
46%
Horn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 2:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
This is a genuine toss-up — Liddell at 54% vs Horn at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Horn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Liddell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Horn has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Liddell
Horn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
56
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Liddell
Horn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.1
18.9
61.2
Performance Avg
48.1
56
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
78
Liddell
Horn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Liddell
Horn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Liddell
Horn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/113 fights
Liddell
Horn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Liddell
Horn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Liddell
Horn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
LiddellHorn
Strike Zones
Liddell
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHorn
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Liddell targets the head (91% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Horn targets the head (75% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Liddell
RND
Horn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11