METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Flyweight
VS
62%
Pantoja
38%
Schnell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:17
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
306
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
1710
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:17
def. Matt Schnell · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
Actual result
Pantoja wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pantoja holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Schnell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PantojaSchnell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pantoja
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
37.5
60.2
Performance Avg
39.6
49
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
45
Pantoja
Schnell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
4.3
5.0
Style: Volume
5.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
16
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance18
0Clinch0
7Ground2
Pantoja
Schnell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
6
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pantoja
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Pantoja
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Pantoja
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Schnell
Striking3.0 / 0.9Volume5.0 / 5.5Grappling4.5 / 4.8Wrestling3.1 / 3.4Submission4.3 / 4.3Pressure6.3 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Schnell
Pantoja
Attacking
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Schnell
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (94% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pantoja · Last 5

Upcoming
Joshua Van
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua Van
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-France
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai Asakura
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve Erceg
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Schnell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph Morales
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy Flick
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody Durden
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve Erceg
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Matt Schnell
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