UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Busan, South Korea
21 Dec 2019
Flyweight
VS
61%
Pantoja
39%
Schnell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:17
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
17 – 10
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

Pantoja holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Schnell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Schnell throws more volume but Pantoja connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pantoja
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
38.1
60.2
Performance Avg
40.7
49
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
45
Pantoja
Schnell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
16
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance18
0Clinch0
7Ground2
Pantoja
Schnell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Pantoja
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
45
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Pantoja
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Schnell
Striking3.0 / 0.9Volume5.0 / 5.5Grappling4.5 / 4.8Wrestling3.1 / 3.4Submission4.3 / 4.3Pressure6.3 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Schnell
Pantoja
Attacking
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Schnell
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (94% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Schnell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.7L1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.7W2.3L5.9W2.9L3.3L2.9L5.0W3.5L2016-122019-032022-052024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Schnell · Last 5

Upcoming
Imanol Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Matt Schnell
← Back to fights