UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Bantamweight
VS
33%
Pickett
67%
Wineland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wineland
Wineland holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wineland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Wineland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wineland has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pickett
Wineland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+69"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Wineland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
28.2
36.4
Performance Avg
45.0
37
Quality of Victory
50
60
Momentum Score
78
Pickett
Wineland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
30%
Strike Accuracy
32%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
35
9
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pickett
Wineland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
Wineland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Pickett
Wineland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pickett
Wineland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Wineland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
PickettWineland
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedWineland
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (45% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Wineland targets the head (92% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Wineland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07