UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Welterweight
VS
91%
Hughes
9%
Gracie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:40
MH
Matt Hughes
45 – 9
5'9"73" reachSwitch52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
RG
Renzo Gracie
13 – 7
Well-Rounded59 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hughes

Hughes is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hughes
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
52+
Age
59
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
2.2
64.6
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Hughes
Gracie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
22%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
3
Body
2
16
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance6
10Clinch1
1Ground0
Hughes
Gracie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hughes
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
1/20 fights
Hughes
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Hughes
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hughes
Gracie
Striking4.8 / 0.0Volume3.7 / 0.0Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hughes
Strike Zones
Gracie
Hughes
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY16LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Gracie
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY16LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (56% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hughes
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W4.0W1.5L5.1W5.4W5.4W4.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L4.5W2.1L2.8L4.5W5.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L1999-092003-042006-052010-042011-09
WinLossTrend

Hughes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05

Gracie · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Matt HughesRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04

News & Media

Matt Hughes · Renzo Gracie
← Back to fights