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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Flyweight
VS
49%
Perez
51%
Mokaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alex
Alex Perez
2610
5'6"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Muhammad
Muhammad Mokaev
"The Punisher"
130
Well-Rounded7-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Muhammad MokaevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Perez · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mokaev
Actual result
Mokaev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 49% vs Mokaev at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Perez's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PerezMokaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Perez
Mokaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Mokaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
63.2
51.2
Performance Avg
62.6
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
100
Perez
Mokaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.0
3.1
Style: Volume
5.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance10
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Perez
Mokaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.7
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Mokaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Perez
Mokaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Perez
Mokaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Mokaev
Striking6.1 / 2.0Volume3.1 / 5.4Grappling2.6 / 5.6Wrestling1.8 / 3.9Submission2.5 / 5.7Pressure6.8 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Perez
Strike Zones
Mokaev
Perez
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Mokaev
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mokaev targets the head (70% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Mokaev
0/0R00/0

Perez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sumudaerji
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

Mokaev · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Manel Kape
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex Perez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim Elliott
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel Filho
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm Gordon
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

News & Media

Alex Perez · Muhammad Mokaev
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