UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Flyweight
VS
49%
Perez
51%
Mokaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alex
Alex Perez
26 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Muhammad
Muhammad Mokaev
"The Punisher"
13 – 0
Well-Rounded7-fight win streak25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mokaev

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 49% vs Mokaev at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Perez's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Perez
Mokaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Mokaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
63.2
52.7
Performance Avg
62.6
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
100
Perez
Mokaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance10
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Perez
Mokaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.7
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Mokaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Perez
Mokaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Perez
Mokaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Mokaev
Striking6.1 / 2.0Volume3.1 / 5.4Grappling2.6 / 5.6Wrestling1.8 / 3.9Submission2.5 / 5.7Pressure7.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Perez
Strike Zones
Mokaev
Perez
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Mokaev
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mokaev targets the head (70% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Mokaev
0/0R00/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.6L2.8L6.9L5.3W3.9L5.1L5.9W2017-122019-032022-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Mokaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.1W5.4W5.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.2W2022-032022-102023-102024-07
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Mokaev · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

News & Media

Alex Perez · Muhammad Mokaev
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