UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
McCann
50%
Carolina
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCann
This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 50% vs Carolina at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: McCann throws more volume but Carolina connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Carolina has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McCann
Carolina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
62"
Reach
+69"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Carolina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
47.8
42.6
Performance Avg
41.5
38
Quality of Victory
29
71
Momentum Score
80
McCann
Carolina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
1
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance15
4Clinch1
0Ground0
McCann
Carolina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McCann
Carolina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
McCann
Carolina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McCann
Carolina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
17%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Carolina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
McCannCarolina
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCarolina
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the head (86% of attacks) — Carolina absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Carolina targets the body (50% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Carolina
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McCann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Carolina · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldRating 3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Carolina · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

