METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Flyweight
VS
50%
Nicolau
50%
Schnell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:44
★ Official Result
Matheus NicolauwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:44
def. Matt Schnell · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nicolau
→
Actual result
Nicolau wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nicolau at 50% vs Schnell at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nicolau's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NicolauSchnell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nicolau
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nicolau
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.0
37.5
44.7
Performance Avg
39.6
32
Quality of Victory
37
49
Momentum Score
45
Nicolau
Schnell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.3
7.0
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Nicolau
Schnell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nicolau
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Nicolau
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Nicolau
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nicolau
Schnell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
NicolauSchnell
Strike Zones
Nicolau
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSchnell
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nicolau targets the head (77% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nicolau absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nicolau
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nicolau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
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Matt SchnellKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
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