METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Flyweight
VS
50%
Sasaki
50%
Gates
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:30
★ Official Result
Yuta SasakiwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:30
def. Willie Gates · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sasaki
→
Actual result
Sasaki wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sasaki at 50% vs Gates at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sasaki's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gates has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SasakiGates
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sasaki
Gates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+72"
36+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sasaki
Gates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
18.0
48.2
Performance Avg
46.0
51
Quality of Victory
60
46
Momentum Score
43
Sasaki
Gates
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.9
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground1
Sasaki
Gates
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sasaki
Gates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Sasaki
Gates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Sasaki
Gates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sasaki
Gates
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SasakiGates
Strike Zones
Sasaki
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGates
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sasaki targets the head (80% of attacks) — Gates absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gates targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sasaki
RND
Gates
0/0R00/0
Sasaki · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Jenel LausaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · Sub · R2
Justin ScogginsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
Gates · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R3
Dustin OrtizKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Darrell MontagueKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
John MoragaSubmission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12