UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
49%
Dalby
51%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nicolas
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
24 – 6
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak41 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummings

This is a genuine toss-up — Dalby at 49% vs Cummings at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cummings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Dalby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dalby
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dalby
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
42.5
41.9
Performance Avg
53.3
29
Quality of Victory
41
45
Momentum Score
63
Dalby
Cummings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
1
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance13
4Clinch1
1Ground3
Dalby
Cummings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dalby
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Dalby
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
63
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dalby
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dalby
Cummings
Striking2.5 / 3.4Volume8.2 / 4.6Grappling2.1 / 4.2Wrestling1.5 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure2.7 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Dalby
Strike Zones
Cummings
Dalby
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dalby targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (71% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dalby
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dalby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.6L4.5W4.7W5.5W7.0W7.1L3.6L4.5W2015-052020-112023-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Dalby · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5
Decision
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L · KO · R2
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KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
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W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
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News & Media

Nicolas Dalby · Zak Cummings
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