The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jun 2007
Lightweight
VS
88%
Lauzon
12%
Melendez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:09
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
BM
Brandon Melendez
"The Murderer"
25 – 25
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw5'11"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lauzon

Lauzon is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lauzon
Melendez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lauzon
Melendez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.5
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Lauzon
Melendez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
22%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Lauzon
Melendez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
2.0
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Melendez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
1/50 fights
Lauzon
Melendez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Lauzon
Melendez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon
Melendez
Striking4.4 / 0.0Volume2.2 / 0.0Grappling4.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lauzon
Strike Zones
Melendez
Lauzon
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Melendez
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Melendez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon
RND
Melendez
0/0R00/0

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Melendez · Last 1

L · Sub · R2
Joe LauzonRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · 2007-06

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Brandon Melendez
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