★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Cormier
73%
Jones
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
Jones is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cormier throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cormier
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+84"
47
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
70.9
68.1
Performance Avg
74.6
61
Quality of Victory
61
100
Momentum Score
100
Cormier
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
2
Body
8
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance16
2Clinch0
0Ground15
Cormier
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
4
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
24/29 fights
Cormier
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
19-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Cormier
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
55%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
CormierJones
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedJones
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (40% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (58% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
