UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Bantamweight
VS
20%
Pilarte
80%
Newson
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Newson
Newson is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Newson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Newson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Newson has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pilarte
Newson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pilarte
Newson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.2
17.3
0.0
Performance Avg
23.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
15
Pilarte
Newson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.1
0.9
20%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground5
Pilarte
Newson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pilarte
Newson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Pilarte
Newson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
Pilarte
Newson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pilarte
Newson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
PilarteNewson
Strike Zones
Pilarte
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedNewson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pilarte targets the body (100% of attacks) — Newson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Newson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pilarte absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pilarte
RND
Newson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pilarte · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Newson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pilarte · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8Decision
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Upcoming
Journey NewsonUFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
Newson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Marcus McGheeRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Upcoming
Domingo PilarteUFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02