The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Lightweight
VS
57%
Edgar
43%
Veach
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:20
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
MV
Matt Veach
17 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edgar

This is a genuine toss-up — Edgar at 57% vs Veach at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Edgar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edgar
Veach
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Veach
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
19.2
48.0
Performance Avg
49.3
39
Quality of Victory
60
68
Momentum Score
43
Edgar
Veach
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Edgar
Veach
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Veach
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Edgar
Veach
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Edgar
Veach
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Veach
Striking3.5 / 10.0Volume6.1 / 0.7Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Edgar
Strike Zones
Veach
Edgar
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Veach
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Veach targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Veach
0/0R00/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Veach · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.0W2.8L2.8L2009-022009-122010-04
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Veach · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Matt Veach
← Back to fights