The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Lightweight
VS
57%
Edgar
43%
Veach
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edgar
This is a genuine toss-up — Edgar at 57% vs Veach at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Edgar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar
Veach
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Veach
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
19.2
48.0
Performance Avg
49.3
39
Quality of Victory
60
68
Momentum Score
43
Edgar
Veach
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Edgar
Veach
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Veach
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Edgar
Veach
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Edgar
Veach
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Veach
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
EdgarVeach
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedVeach
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Veach targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Veach
0/0R00/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Veach · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Veach · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02