METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
66%
Moraes
34%
Forte
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:10
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsSubmissionR3 · 3:10
def. Renee Forte · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraes
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moraes holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Forte has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Forte has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesForte
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Forte
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Forte
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
9.8
47.0
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
95
Momentum Score
33
Moraes
Forte
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.8
5.2
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moraes
Forte
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Forte
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Moraes
Forte
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Moraes
Forte
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Forte
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MoraesForte
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedForte
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (80% of attacks) — Forte absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Forte targets the head (86% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Forte
0/0R00/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Forte · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiKO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R3
Sergio MoraesSubmission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10