UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
97%
Pedro
3%
Hunsucker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pedro
Pedro is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hunsucker has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pedro
Hunsucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Hunsucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.6
1.5
56.6
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Pedro
Hunsucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
60%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Pedro
Hunsucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Hunsucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
34
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Pedro
Hunsucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Pedro
Hunsucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Hunsucker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PedroHunsucker
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHunsucker
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hunsucker absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Hunsucker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Hunsucker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pedro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hunsucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Hunsucker · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03