METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Welterweight
VS
93%
Diaz
7%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:04
★ Official Result
Nick DiazwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:04
def. Jeremy Jackson · UFC 44: Undisputed
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.1
49.6
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Diaz
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
—
41%
Strike Accuracy
0%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Diaz
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Diaz
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Diaz
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DiazJackson
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedJackson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Jackson · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Pete SprattRating 2.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R3
Nick DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 44: Undisputed · 2003-09