UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Welterweight
VS
93%
Diaz
7%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:04
ND
Nick Diaz
26 – 10
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw42 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 29
JJ
Jeremy Jackson
"Scorpion"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diaz

Diaz is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Risk flags

Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diaz
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.1
49.6
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Diaz
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
—
41%
Strike Accuracy
0%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Diaz
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Diaz
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Diaz
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diaz
Jackson
Striking6.7 / 0.0Volume2.1 / 0.0Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Diaz
Strike Zones
Jackson
Diaz
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Jackson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diaz
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L3.0L2003-092005-062006-082013-032021-09
WinLossTrend

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.0L2.8L2003-092006-11
WinLossTrend

Diaz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson Silva
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10

Jackson · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Pete SprattRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R3
Nick DiazRating 4
Submission
UFC 44: Undisputed · 2003-09

News & Media

Nick Diaz · Jeremy Jackson
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