METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
Pittsburgh, USA
26 Jun 2011
Welterweight
VS
76%
Brown
24%
Howard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Howard · UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownHoward
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Howard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Howard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
13.7
54.0
Performance Avg
40.1
52
Quality of Victory
34
78
Momentum Score
40
Brown
Howard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
57%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
13 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Brown
Howard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Howard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
14/37 fights
Brown
Howard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
40
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brown
Howard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
29%
13
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Howard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
BrownHoward
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHoward
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (86% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Howard targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Howard
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
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