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UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
30 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
59%
Makhachev
41%
Hooker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 Β· 2:25
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
Dan
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24 – 14
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSwitch75" reach6'0"
CFR 52
β˜… Official Result
Islam MakhachevwinsSubmissionR1 Β· 2:25
def. Dan Hooker Β· UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makhachev
β†’
Actual result
Makhachev wins
Submission Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Makhachev at 59% vs Hooker at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Hooker throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hooker has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MakhachevHooker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Makhachev
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Makhachev
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
52.3
69.8
Performance Avg
50.3
53
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Makhachev
Hooker
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makhachev
Hooker
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makhachev
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Makhachev
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
78
16-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
Makhachev
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
64%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
8
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Hooker
Striking3.6 / 6.2Volume4.7 / 4.0Grappling4.6 / 2.0Wrestling3.2 / 1.4Submission4.7 / 1.4Pressure7.4 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Hooker
Makhachev
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Hooker
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Hooker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the legs (75% of attacks) β€” Makhachev absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0

Makhachev Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Hooker Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W7.1L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.6W5.4W5.2W4.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L2.3L5.2W3.5L2.9L6.1W5.7W5.6W3.8L4.5L2014-062017-062019-102022-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Makhachev Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Β· 2025-01
W Β· Sub Β· R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Β· 2023-10
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Β· 2023-02

Hooker Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 Β· 2026-01
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Β· 2025-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Β· 2024-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Β· 2023-07
W Β· KO Β· R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Β· 2022-11

News & Media

Islam Makhachev Β· Dan Hooker
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