UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
30 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
59%
Makhachev
41%
Hooker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:25
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
Dan
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24 – 14
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSwitch75" reach6'0"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makhachev

This is a genuine toss-up — Makhachev at 59% vs Hooker at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Hooker throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hooker has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Makhachev
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Makhachev
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
52.3
69.8
Performance Avg
50.3
53
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Makhachev
Hooker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makhachev
Hooker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makhachev
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Makhachev
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Makhachev
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
64%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
8
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Hooker
Striking3.6 / 6.2Volume4.7 / 4.0Grappling4.6 / 2.0Wrestling3.2 / 1.4Submission4.7 / 1.4Pressure7.4 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Hooker
Makhachev
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Hooker
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Hooker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W7.1L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.6W5.4W5.2W4.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L2.3L5.2W3.5L2.9L6.1W5.7W5.6W3.8L4.5L2014-062017-062019-102022-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Hooker · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

News & Media

Islam Makhachev · Dan Hooker
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