The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Curran
45%
Moyle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Curran
This is a genuine toss-up — Curran at 55% vs Moyle at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Curran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Curran throws more volume but Moyle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Curran's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Curran
Moyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
65"
Reach
65"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Curran
Moyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
11.3
35.4
Performance Avg
28.3
50
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
33
Curran
Moyle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
5
Body
8
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance19
4Clinch4
3Ground2
Curran
Moyle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Curran
Moyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/7 fights
Curran
Moyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Curran
Moyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curran
Moyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
CurranMoyle
Strike Zones
Curran
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMoyle
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curran targets the head (68% of attacks) — Moyle absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Moyle targets the head (48% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curran
RND
Moyle
0/0R00/0
Curran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Moyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Curran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandra AlbuRating 5.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Felice HerrigRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Emily KaganRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Moyle · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Emily WhitmireRating 5.5Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Viviane PereiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Kailin CurranRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12