METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Lightweight
VS
56%
Grant
44%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ GrantwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Evan Dunham · UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 56% vs Dunham at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Grant connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantDunham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grant
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
16.2
53.5
Performance Avg
40.1
41
Quality of Victory
30
75
Momentum Score
100
Grant
Dunham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
2.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
52
17
Body
11
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
60Distance64
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Grant
Dunham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Grant
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Grant
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
18%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
GrantDunham
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedDunham
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (63% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09