UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Lightweight
VS
56%
Grant
44%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
TJ Grant
21 – 5
5'10"72" reachOrthodox42 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
ED
Evan Dunham
18 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 56% vs Dunham at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Grant connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Grant
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grant
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
16.2
53.5
Performance Avg
40.1
41
Quality of Victory
30
75
Momentum Score
100
Grant
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
52
17
Body
11
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
60Distance64
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Grant
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Grant
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Grant
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
18%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grant
Dunham
Striking5.2 / 2.0Volume5.5 / 6.9Grappling2.2 / 2.5Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.9Pressure5.7 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Grant
Strike Zones
Dunham
Grant
Attacking
38HEAD17BODY5LEGS60 landed
Absorbing
52HEAD11BODY2LEGS65 absorbed
Dunham
Attacking
52HEAD11BODY2LEGS65 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD17BODY5LEGS60 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (63% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grant
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2009-042010-052011-102013-012013-05
WinLossTrend

Dunham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.2W5.5L4.5W5.7L2.8L2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W1.5L2.8L1.9L2009-022011-012013-052015-122020-06
WinLossTrend

Grant · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Dunham · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

News & Media

TJ Grant · Evan Dunham
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