UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Featherweight
VS
62%
Rosa
38%
Bochniak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rosa
Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bochniak has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Bochniak throws more volume but Rosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa
Bochniak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Bochniak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
12.0
36.3
Performance Avg
26.4
35
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
50
Rosa
Bochniak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
30%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
14
2
Body
0
9
Leg
3
RangeRange
35Distance15
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Rosa
Bochniak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Bochniak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Rosa
Bochniak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rosa
Bochniak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Bochniak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
RosaBochniak
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBochniak
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (72% of attacks) — Bochniak absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Bochniak targets the head (82% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Bochniak
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Bochniak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
Bochniak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07