METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Featherweight
VS
54%
Holloway
46%
Fili
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:39
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsSubmissionR3 · 3:39
def. Andre Fili · UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 54% vs Fili at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
48.4
57.7
Performance Avg
41.2
48
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
3.6
4.8
Style: Volume
6.5
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Holloway
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Holloway
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
31%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
HollowayFili
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedFili
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (83% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (60% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Fili · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Vinicius OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06