METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Featherweight
VS
54%
Holloway
46%
Fili
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:39
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsSubmissionR3 · 3:39
def. Andre Fili · UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 54% vs Fili at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
48.8
56.8
Performance Avg
42.0
47
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Holloway
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
31%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
HollowayFili
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedFili
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (83% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (60% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02