UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Middleweight
VS
12%
Moreira
88%
Alcantara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alcantara
Alcantara is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Moreira
Alcantara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
Reach
78"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreira
Alcantara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
16.0
0.0
Performance Avg
41.5
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
53
Moreira
Alcantara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.7
29%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance10
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Moreira
Alcantara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moreira
Alcantara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Moreira
Alcantara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moreira
Alcantara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreira
Alcantara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
MoreiraAlcantara
Strike Zones
Moreira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlcantara
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alcantara targets the head (73% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreira
RND
Alcantara
0/0R00/0
Moreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Moreira · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
Alcantara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Richardson MoreiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10