UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Jordan
73%
Lewis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Jordan throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jordan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jordan
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+79"
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jordan
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
59.2
57.5
Performance Avg
57.5
56
Quality of Victory
53
72
Momentum Score
84
Jordan
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Jordan
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jordan
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Jordan
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
84
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Jordan
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
16
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jordan
Lewis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
JordanLewis
Strike Zones
Jordan
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLewis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jordan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jordan
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11